Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.168496 0.189955 0.212533 0.238004 0.265885 0.295421 0.329019
2025-04-13 0.139123 0.167928 0.199864 0.237711 0.281145 0.329234 0.386298
2025-04-20 0.119777 0.153450 0.192505 0.240750 0.298318 0.364372 0.445429
2025-04-27 0.106761 0.144258 0.189519 0.247477 0.318972 0.403498 0.510137
2025-05-04 0.093984 0.133584 0.183210 0.248907 0.332433 0.433867 0.565016
2025-05-11 0.085081 0.126654 0.180549 0.254043 0.349994 0.469260 0.626741
2025-05-18 0.078315 0.121682 0.179680 0.260916 0.369521 0.507317 0.692642
2025-05-25 0.069605 0.113031 0.172984 0.259257 0.377351 0.530249 0.739615
2025-06-01 0.062535 0.105930 0.167673 0.258799 0.386286 0.554435 0.788469
2025-06-08 0.056279 0.099354 0.162461 0.257880 0.394164 0.577068 0.835534
2025-06-15 0.052547 0.096235 0.161910 0.263328 0.410787 0.611654 0.899191
2025-06-22 0.047884 0.091159 0.157988 0.263467 0.419658 0.635665 0.948929
2025-06-29 0.043358 0.085988 0.153706 0.263027 0.427973 0.659623 1.000028
2025-07-06 0.039252 0.081096 0.149452 0.262275 0.435630 0.682727 1.050435
2025-07-13 0.036349 0.077992 0.147786 0.265317 0.448882 0.714013 1.112989
2025-07-20 0.034497 0.076580 0.148746 0.272448 0.468441 0.754801 1.189916
2025-07-27 0.031796 0.073307 0.146315 0.273911 0.479243 0.782995 1.249352
2025-08-03 0.030017 0.071602 0.146410 0.279412 0.496382 0.820841 1.323496
2025-08-10 0.028677 0.070617 0.147657 0.286807 0.516649 0.863752 1.405884
2025-08-17 0.026086 0.066825 0.143613 0.285001 0.522091 0.884402 1.455840
2025-08-24 0.023919 0.063667 0.140468 0.284497 0.529484 0.908046 1.510589
2025-08-31 0.021887 0.060563 0.137178 0.283501 0.535918 0.930240 1.563489
2025-09-07 0.020857 0.059562 0.137787 0.289378 0.553820 0.970501 1.644360